The odds
as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC- O/U 0.5 Rounds >99% +16
- Fight won by KO/TKO? 98% +63
- Steele to win by KO/TKO? 97% +78
- Ends before Round 2? 51% +19
- Fight won by decision? 50% —
- Ends before Round 3? 50% −5
- Gugnon in Round 1 50% +1
- Gugnon in Round 2 50% +1.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$242K
Traded in all$245K
Favourite, 7 days+50 pts
O/U 0.5 Rounds, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 50% · Oct 20: 50% · Oct 21: 69% · Oct 22: 63% · Oct 23: 83% · Oct 24: >99%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.
It will resolve to "Kody Steele" if Kody Steele is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
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