The odds
as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC- Aaron Pico 56% −2
- Losene Keita 45% +2
Traded today$178K
Traded in all$190K
Favourite, 7 days+6 pts
Aaron Pico, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 17: 50% · Oct 18: 52% · Oct 19: 52% · Oct 20: 53% · Oct 21: 55% · Oct 22: 56% · Oct 23: 57% · Oct 24: 56%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.
It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗