The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Chance of yes 2.6% —
Traded today$732
Traded in all$111K
Yes, 7 days−3.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 6% · Sep 29: 5.9% · Sep 30: 6% · Oct 1: 4.8% · Oct 2: 2.8% · Oct 3: 2.7% · Oct 4: 2.6% · Oct 5: 2.7%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗