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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 leads at 82% (about 8 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • December 31 82% −1.5
  • November 30 78% —
  • October 31 1.5% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$586
Traded in all$377K
Favourite, 7 days+6 pts

December 31, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 582%

Sep 28: 76% · Sep 29: 78% · Sep 30: 78% · Oct 1: 82% · Oct 2: 82% · Oct 3: 84% · Oct 4: 81% · Oct 5: 82%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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