The odds
as of Oct 20, 02:31 UTC- Patrick Mahomes 81% —
- Trevor Lawrence 70% +30
- Brock Purdy 67% —
- Dak Prescott 66% +3
- Joe Burrow 65% −1
- Jared Goff 65% −3
- Matthew Stafford 61% +5.5
- Bryce Young 55% −10
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Patrick Mahomes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 13: 82% · Oct 14: 81% · Oct 15: 81% · Oct 16: 81% · Oct 17: 81% · Oct 18: 82% · Oct 19: 82% · Oct 20: 81%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.
If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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