The odds
as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC- John Malkovich 94% —
- Matt Damon 94% —
- Andrew Scott 89% −4.5
- Robert Pattinson 53% −3.5
- Ryan Gosling 50% −4
- Tom Cruise 46% −7.5
- John Turturro 35% +7.5
- Pedro Pascal 31% +1.6
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$67K
Favourite, 7 days+3.5 pts
John Malkovich, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 91% · Sep 29: 91% · Sep 30: 94% · Oct 1: 94% · Oct 2: 94% · Oct 3: 94% · Oct 4: 94% · Oct 5: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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