The odds
as of Nov 2, 02:22 UTC- 4.5+ Wins 10% −8.5
- 5.5+ Wins 4.5% −2.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−7 pts
4.5+ Wins, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 26: 17% · Oct 27: 17% · Oct 28: 14% · Oct 29: 13% · Oct 30: 14% · Oct 31: 25% · Nov 1: 10% · Nov 2: 10%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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