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PolymarketCloses November 1, 2026

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

The market puts it at 1.7% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • Chance of yes 1.7% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$939K
Yes, 7 days−5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 52%

Sep 28: 6.2% · Sep 29: 2.8% · Sep 30: 1.8% · Oct 1: 1.8% · Oct 2: 1.5% · Oct 3: 1.7% · Oct 4: 1.7% · Oct 5: 1.7%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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