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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

The market puts it at 5% — a long shot, about one in 20 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 15:27 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 15:27 UTC
  • Chance of yes 5% −1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$447K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 55%

Sep 28: 7% · Sep 29: 7.5% · Sep 30: 7.5% · Oct 1: 6% · Oct 2: 6% · Oct 3: 6% · Oct 4: 6% · Oct 5: 5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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