The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- 400-500k 58% −9
- 500-600k 12% —
- 300-400k 9% —
- 200-300k 2.5% —
- <200k 1.7% —
- 900k-1m 1.6% —
- 800-900k 1.5% —
- 700-800k 1.4% —
Traded today$582
Traded in all$129K
Favourite, 7 days−9 pts
400-500k, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 67% · Sep 29: 67% · Sep 30: 67% · Oct 1: 67% · Oct 2: 66% · Oct 3: 66% · Oct 4: 67% · Oct 5: 57%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordDuring the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗