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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

The market puts it at 11% — a long shot, about one in 9 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 13, 01:06 UTC. It's up 4 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 11% ▲ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 13, 01:06 UTC
  • Chance of yes 11% +4
Traded today$502
Traded in all$658K
Yes, 7 days+4.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 5Oct 1311%

Oct 6: 7.5% · Oct 7: 8% · Oct 8: 8.5% · Oct 9: 8% · Oct 10: 7.5% · Oct 11: 7% · Oct 12: 11% · Oct 13: 11%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be Acting President/leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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