The odds
as of Oct 14, 05:24 UTC- Chance of yes 3.5% −3
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$33K
Yes, 7 days−3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 7: 6.5% · Oct 8: 6.5% · Oct 9: 6.5% · Oct 10: 6.5% · Oct 11: 6.5% · Oct 12: 6.5% · Oct 13: 6.5% · Oct 14: 4%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the National Park Service reports that Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 5 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits figure published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program for Yellowstone National Park. Preliminary monthly or year-to-date figures will not be used for final resolution.
Settlement sources: National Park Service
See it on Kalshi ↗