The odds
as of Oct 5, 17:23 UTC- Chance of yes 9% +2
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$89K
Yes, 7 days+2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 7% · Sep 29: 6.5% · Sep 30: 7% · Oct 1: 3.5% · Oct 2: 5% · Oct 3: 6.5% · Oct 4: 6.5% · Oct 5: 9%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Tesla
See it on Kalshi ↗