The odds
as of Oct 13, 21:21 UTC- Tina Fey 37% −7
- Steve Higgins 36% −8
- Colin Jost 19% −8
- Seth Meyers 11% −3
- Kenan Thompson 9.5% —
- Bill Hader 6% —
- Mike Shoemaker 3.5% —
- Maya Rudolph 3.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$897
Traded in all$67K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts
Tina Fey, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 39% · Oct 7: 39% · Oct 8: 42% · Oct 9: 43% · Oct 10: 45% · Oct 11: 45% · Oct 12: 40% · Oct 13: 38%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Tina Fey; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tina Fey is announced to be succeeding Lorne Michaels as showrunner of SNL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Variety; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗