The odds
as of Oct 5, 17:23 UTC- Above 15.50 million 94% —
- Above 15.75 million 78% —
- Above 16.00 million 15% −6
- Above 16.25 million 8.5% —
- Above 16.50 million 5.5% —
- Above 16.75 million 3.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$74K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 15.50 million, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 94% · Sep 29: 94% · Sep 30: 94% · Oct 1: 94% · Oct 2: 94% · Oct 3: 94% · Oct 4: 94% · Oct 5: 94%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 15.50 million; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 15.50 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus deplaned passengers as reported by the Airport Authority.
Settlement sources: Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority
See it on Kalshi ↗