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KalshiCloses January 1, 2040

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?

Ramp leads at 89% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 16, 06:37 UTC. It's up 32 points in the last 24 hours.

Ramp 89% ▲ 32 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 16, 06:37 UTC
  • Ramp 89% +32
  • Brex 5% −1

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+3.5 pts

Ramp, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 8Oct 1686%

Oct 9: 89% · Oct 10: 86% · Oct 11: 86% · Oct 12: 86% · Oct 13: 86% · Oct 14: 86% · Oct 15: 86% · Oct 16: 86%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ramp; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Ramp confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: Securities and Exchange Commission; NYSE; NASDAQ; the New York Times; The Wall Street Journal; Bloomberg; BBC; ABC; Reuters; CNBC; Financial Times

See it on Kalshi ↗

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