The odds
as of Oct 15, 19:20 UTC- The Black Ball 95% +1
- All of a Sudden 87% −5
- Fjord 81% −5
- Possible Love 69% —
- Minotaur 53% +6
- 1949 / Fatherland 48% +4
- Coward 36% —
- Rose 30% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$912
Traded in all$63K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts
The Black Ball, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 12: 98% · Oct 15: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, The Black Ball; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Black Ball has been nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗