The odds
as of Oct 18, 05:22 UTC- Denny Hamlin 87% +18
- Ryan Blaney 84% +9
- Christopher Bell 72% +4
- Kyle Larson 70% +5
- Joey Logano 62% −1
- Tyler Reddick 61% +6
- Ty Gibbs 61% +10
- Corey Heim 61% +33
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+43 pts
Denny Hamlin, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 13: 69% · Oct 14: 69% · Oct 15: 69% · Oct 16: 69% · Oct 17: 87% · Oct 18: 65%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Denny Hamlin; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Denny Hamlin finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Denny Hamlin retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: the Governing League
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