The odds
as of Oct 11, 06:39 UTC- Kyle Larson 69% +5
- Christopher Bell 68% +1
- Denny Hamlin 68% —
- Tyler Reddick 66% —
- Chase Briscoe 64% −2
- Ryan Blaney 61% +3
- William Byron 57% −1
- Ty Gibbs 53% +2
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+20 pts
Kyle Larson, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 73% · Oct 7: 68% · Oct 8: 69% · Oct 9: 68% · Oct 10: 64% · Oct 11: 69%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Kyle Larson; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Kyle Larson finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Bank of America 400 , then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Kyle Larson retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: the Governing League
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