Moving
Who will AOC endorse? Darializa Avila Chevalier 82% ▲+67Moutet vs Balshaw Felix Balshaw 53% ▼−42Garcian vs Azkara Arda Azkara 92% ▲+42Funk vs Verbeek Aaron Funk 91% ▲+41Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations Dollhouse Elephant 60% ▲+39Wong vs Samrej Coleman Wong 52% ▼−38Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY? Yes 36% ▼−36Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film Once Upon a Time in Harlem 71% ▼−36Gengel vs Guzmicky Marek Gengel 68% ▼−27The Angry Birds Movie 3 · Rotten Tomatoes score Above 45 69% ▲+26Kenya vs Denmark Kenya 67% ▲+26Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner… Beyoncé 39% ▲+25Fernandez vs Sasnovich Leylah Fernandez 90% ▲+24Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October? Meta 29% ▲+23
KalshiCloses March 31, 2028

Meta headcount in 2026

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above 65000 at 86% on Kalshi, as of Oct 21, 08:32 UTC. It's up 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Above 65000 86% ▲ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 21, 08:32 UTC
  • Above 65000 86% +0.5
  • Above 68000 47% −36
  • Above 71000 35% −33
  • Above 74000 41% —
  • Above 77000 20% +11

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$631
Traded in all$50K
Favourite, 7 days−5.5 pts

Above 65000, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 14Oct 2186%

Oct 14: 92% · Oct 15: 91% · Oct 19: 91% · Oct 21: 86%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 65000; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 65000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Meta Platforms, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai

See it on Kalshi ↗

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