The odds
as of Oct 29, 23:17 UTC- Chance of yes 7.5% −10
Traded today$24K
Traded in all$29K
Yes, 7 days−43 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 50% · Oct 27: 11% · Oct 28: 13% · Oct 29: 7.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf any runner representing the United States wins the Male Open Division at the 2026 New York City Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: The Wall Street Journal; New York Road Runners; ESPN; Fox Sports; AP; The New York Times
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
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