The odds
as of Oct 12, 16:28 UTC- Above 56 million 97% +8
- Above 56.5 million 93% −1
- Above 57 million 70% −9
- Above 57.5 million 35% −40
- Above 58 million 6.5% −13
- Above 58.5 million 5.5% −7
- Above 59 million 3.5% —
- Above 59.5 million 2.5% −7
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$20K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+9 pts
Above 56 million, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 5: 88% · Oct 6: 88% · Oct 7: 92% · Oct 8: 96% · Oct 9: 96% · Oct 10: 96% · Oct 11: 98% · Oct 12: 97%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 56 million; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 56000000.0 seats flown in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗