The odds
as of Oct 14, 02:31 UTC- Chance of yes 6.5% −2
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$26K
Yes, 7 days−4 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 7: 11% · Oct 8: 11% · Oct 9: 11% · Oct 10: 11% · Oct 11: 11% · Oct 12: 11% · Oct 13: 5.5% · Oct 14: 6.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf BLS reports that Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 is above 7,542 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages data for Kentucky, private ownership, NAICS 312140 Distilleries, for June 2026. The 7,542-job threshold is fixed and will not change if the June 2025 figure is subsequently revised.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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