The odds
as of Oct 21, 11:23 UTC- Machida Z 95% +49
- Tie 4.5% —
- Shimizu 1% —
Traded today$60K
Traded in all$60K
Favourite, 7 days+51 pts
Machida Z, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 14: 43% · Oct 15: 44% · Oct 16: 55% · Oct 17: 55% · Oct 18: 45% · Oct 19: 45% · Oct 20: 46% · Oct 21: 72%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 21, 11:23 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Machida Z; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Machida Z wins the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: ESPN; Fox Sports
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Kalshi ↗