The odds
as of Oct 16, 06:37 UTC- Beth Hammack 79% +25
- Lorie Logan 37% −4
- Neel Kashkari 34% —
- Michelle Bowman 14% +5
- Christopher Waller 13% —
- Anna Paulson 8% —
- John Williams 5% −4
- Michael Barr 4.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+18 pts
Beth Hammack, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 9: 65% · Oct 10: 65% · Oct 11: 66% · Oct 12: 68% · Oct 13: 60% · Oct 14: 47% · Oct 15: 55% · Oct 16: 78%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Beth Hammack; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Beth Hammack formally dissented at the October 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Federal Reserve Board of Governors
See it on Kalshi ↗