The odds
as of Nov 1, 05:16 UTC- Beth Hammack 21% —
- Lisa Cook 15% —
- Lorie Logan 13% —
- Neel Kashkari 13% —
- Michelle Bowman 10% —
- Christopher Waller 10% −1
- Philip Jefferson 5% —
- Michael Barr 5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−29 pts
Beth Hammack, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 27: 41% · Oct 28: 18% · Oct 29: 14% · Oct 30: 19% · Oct 31: 22% · Nov 1: 21%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Beth Hammack; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Beth Hammack formally dissented at the December 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Federal Reserve Board of Governors
See it on Kalshi ↗