The odds
as of Oct 11, 23:23 UTC- Chance of yes 10% +3
Traded today$875
Traded in all$121K
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 11% · Oct 5: 11% · Oct 6: 10% · Oct 7: 10% · Oct 8: 10% · Oct 9: 10% · Oct 10: 10% · Oct 11: 10%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The Guardian; local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in ; official social media accounts of or their official representatives; official government sources of ; official representatives or offices of ; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; CNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗