The odds
as of Oct 16, 07:26 UTC- Exactly 4.2% 37% −4
- Exactly 4.1% 26% −1
- Exactly 4.3% 20% +1
- Exactly 4.0% 7% —
- Exactly 4.4% 5.5% —
- Exactly 3.8% 3.5% —
- Exactly 3.9% 3.5% —
- Exactly 4.6% 3.5% −2
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Exactly 4.2%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 9: 40% · Oct 10: 38% · Oct 11: 37% · Oct 12: 38% · Oct 13: 38% · Oct 14: 37% · Oct 15: 37% · Oct 16: 37%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Exactly 4.2%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.2% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
See it on Kalshi ↗