Moving
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Xiaomi 83% ▲+63Dodin vs Burel Oceane Dodin 69% ▲+48Lahey vs Guzman Dana Guzman 93% ▲+41Ounmuang vs Shcherbinina Alina Shcherbinina 86% ▲+40Gray vs Maxted Lui Maxted 90% ▲+40Riera vs Grabher Julia Grabher 92% ▲+39GamerLegion vs. Team Yandex: Map 2 Winner Team Yandex 96% ▲+37Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi: Exact Match S… Tallon Griekspoor wins 2-1 52% ▲+36Al-Taawoun vs Al-Ittifaq Al-Taawoun 73% ▲+32Damm Jr vs Prizmic Martin Damm Jr 78% ▲+31"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026) Rank 16 to 20 94% ▲+302026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner Alisa Simmons 31% ▼−30Montreal Warriors vs Vancouver Knights Montreal Warriors 77% ▲+30US Cremonese vs. Benevento Calcio US Cremonese 64% ▲+29
KalshiCloses November 10, 2026

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

Mississippi US Senate leads at 56% (about 6 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 31, 15:14 UTC. It's down 4 points in the last 24 hours.

Mississippi US Senate 56% ▼ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 31, 15:14 UTC
  • Mississippi US Senate 56% −4
  • Minnesota US Senate 45% −1
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+24 pts

Mississippi US Senate, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 23Oct 3156%

Oct 24: 33% · Oct 25: 33% · Oct 26: 33% · Oct 27: 33% · Oct 28: 59% · Oct 29: 58% · Oct 30: 59% · Oct 31: 56%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Mississippi US Senate; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Mississippi US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.

Settlement sources: Minnesota Secretary of State; Mississippi Secretary of State

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →