The odds
as of Oct 6, 06:41 UTC- Nicolas Mejia 95% +47
- Michael Zheng 6.5% —
Traded today$22K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+47 pts
Nicolas Mejia, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 5: 24% · Oct 6: 16%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Nicolas Mejia; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Nicolas Mejia wins set 1 in the Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 2, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 2. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: ATP
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