The odds
as of Nov 1, 03:20 UTC- Above 81% 82% −17
- Above 81.5% 44% —
- Above 82% 14% −24
- Above 82.5% 8% −5
- Above 83% 8% −1
- Above 83.5% 7% −1
- Above 84% 5.5% +1
- Above 84.5% 3.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$35K
Favourite, 7 days−14 pts
Above 81%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 25: 97% · Oct 26: 97% · Oct 27: 97% · Oct 28: 97% · Oct 29: 97% · Oct 30: 97% · Oct 31: 97% · Nov 1: 90%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 81%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 81% passenger load factor in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Alaska Air Group Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗