The odds
as of Oct 14, 04:28 UTC- Below $2.30 6% —
- Below $2.40 4% —
- Below $2.50 4% —
- Below $2.60 14% +7
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$639
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Below $2.60, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 7: 12% · Oct 8: 11% · Oct 9: 9% · Oct 10: 9% · Oct 11: 9.5% · Oct 12: 9.5% · Oct 13: 14% · Oct 14: 14%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Below $2.60; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If average regular gas prices for Florida are strictly lower than $2.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗