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PolymarketCloses October 22, 2026

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

The market puts it at <1% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes <1% ▼ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes <1% −0.5
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$327K
Yes, 7 days−0.6 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 3Oct 110%

Oct 4: <1% · Oct 5: <1% · Oct 6: <1% · Oct 7: <1% · Oct 8: <1% · Oct 9: <1% · Oct 10: <1% · Oct 11: <1%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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