The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 2.8% —
Traded today$575
Traded in all$50K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 4.9% · Sep 29: 4.6% · Sep 30: 4.6% · Oct 1: 2.5% · Oct 2: 2.5% · Oct 3: 2.5% · Oct 4: 2.5% · Oct 5: 2.8%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
See it on Polymarket ↗