The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 58% +22
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$326K
Yes, 7 days+36 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 24% · Sep 29: 25% · Sep 30: 57% · Oct 1: 60% · Oct 2: 42% · Oct 3: 40% · Oct 4: 56% · Oct 5: 59%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
See it on Polymarket ↗