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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

The market puts it at 27% — about 3 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 8, 14:29 UTC. It's up 5.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 27% ▲ 5.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 8, 14:29 UTC
  • Chance of yes 27% +5.5
Traded today$675
Traded in all$460K
Yes, 7 days+2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 827%

Oct 1: 24% · Oct 2: 24% · Oct 3: 20% · Oct 4: 21% · Oct 5: 20% · Oct 6: 21% · Oct 7: 21% · Oct 8: 27%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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