The odds
as of Oct 31, 22:14 UTC- Renato Moicano 54% —
- Tom Nolan 47% —
Traded today$22K
Traded in all$46K
Favourite, 7 days+10 pts
Renato Moicano, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 24: 46% · Oct 25: 49% · Oct 26: 52% · Oct 27: 54% · Oct 28: 54% · Oct 29: 54% · Oct 30: 54% · Oct 31: 54%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 31, 22:14 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026.
It will resolve to "Tom Nolan" if Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
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