The odds
as of Oct 31, 22:14 UTC- Jacobe Smith 72% +1
- Randy Brown 28% −1
Traded today$29K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days−6.5 pts
Jacobe Smith, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 25: 78% · Oct 26: 72% · Oct 27: 71% · Oct 28: 72% · Oct 29: 71% · Oct 30: 71% · Oct 31: 72%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 31, 22:14 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Randy Brown" if Randy Brown is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026.
It will resolve to "Jacobe Smith" if Jacobe Smith is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
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