The odds
as of Oct 30, 21:14 UTC- Francis Marshall 67% —
- Dakota Hope 34% —
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Francis Marshall, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 25: 69% · Oct 26: 68% · Oct 27: 67% · Oct 28: 67% · Oct 29: 67% · Oct 30: 67%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 30, 21:14 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026.
It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗