Moving
PolymarketCloses December 31, 2026

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

The market puts it at 5% — a long shot, about one in 20 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 6, 17:22 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 17:22 UTC
  • Chance of yes 5% +1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$116K
Yes, 7 days+1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 65%

Sep 29: 4.1% · Sep 30: 4.1% · Oct 1: 4.1% · Oct 2: 4.1% · Oct 3: 4.1% · Oct 4: 4.2% · Oct 5: 4.2% · Oct 6: 5.3%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

World

More markets like this

All →