Moving
PolymarketCloses October 15, 2026

September Inflation US - Monthly

0.6% leads at 47% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC. It's up 3 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • 0.6% 47% +3
  • 0.5% 36% +1
  • 0.7% 12% −2.5
  • 0.4% 6.5% −0.5
  • 0.3% 2.7% −1
  • 0.2% 2.1% —
  • ≥0.8% 1.4% −0.5
  • ≤0.0% <1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$52K
Favourite, 7 daysunch

0.6%, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 547%

Sep 28: 46% · Sep 29: 47% · Sep 30: 44% · Oct 1: 45% · Oct 2: 44% · Oct 3: 44% · Oct 4: 44% · Oct 5: 47%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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