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PolymarketCloses October 19, 2026

ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner

Alexander Zverev leads at 32% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 12, 16:28 UTC. It's up 12 points in the last 24 hours.

Alexander Zverev 32% ▲ 12 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 12, 16:28 UTC
  • Alexander Zverev 32% +12
  • Daniil Medvedev 13% +8
  • Rafael Jodar 6% +3.5
  • Jakub Mensik 5% +2.5
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 5% +2
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime 4.5% —
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas 4% +1
  • Tommy Paul 4% +2
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days−18 pts

Alexander Zverev, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 1232%

Oct 6: 17% · Oct 7: 17% · Oct 8: 17% · Oct 9: 19% · Oct 10: 18% · Oct 11: 19% · Oct 12: 32%

The same question on Kalshi

Polymarket32%Alexander Zverev
2 pt gap
Kalshi34%Alexander Zverev →

Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 12, 16:28 UTC.

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Settlement sources: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Polymarket ↗

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