The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Javokhir Sindarov 74% +1
- Gukesh Dommaraju 28% —
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$109K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Javokhir Sindarov, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 73% · Sep 29: 73% · Sep 30: 73% · Oct 1: 73% · Oct 2: 73% · Oct 3: 73% · Oct 4: 73% · Oct 5: 74%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗