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KalshiCloses December 31, 2026

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Justin Gaethje leads at 87% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC
  • Justin Gaethje 87% +1
  • Arman Tsarukyan 9.5% −2
  • Ilia Topuria 2.5% −1
  • Islam Makhachev 1% —
  • Max Holloway 1% —
  • Charles Oliveira 1% —
  • Dan Hooker 1% —
  • Mateusz Gamrot 1% —
Traded today$21K
Traded in all$1.1M
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts

Justin Gaethje, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 587%

Sep 28: 88% · Sep 29: 86% · Sep 30: 89% · Oct 1: 88% · Oct 2: 86% · Oct 3: 87% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 87%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Justin Gaethje; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Justin Gaethje is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ESPN

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

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