The odds
as of Oct 19, 17:22 UTC- Drake 75% +2
- Travis Scott 67% —
- Beyoncé 66% —
- Madonna 53% —
- Eminem 43% —
- Taylor Swift 29% —
- Doja Cat 28% +13
- Bad Bunny 24% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$509
Traded in all$131K
Favourite, 7 days+36 pts
Drake, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 12: 39% · Oct 13: 39% · Oct 14: 39% · Oct 15: 39% · Oct 16: 56% · Oct 17: 40% · Oct 18: 44% · Oct 19: 75%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Drake; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Drake announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Pitchfork; Billboard; Variety; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗