The odds
as of Oct 10, 14:23 UTC- Paul Giamatti 28% −3
- Andrew Garfield 27% −2
- John Leguizamo 17% −1
- Robert Pattinson 12% +1
- Sam Rockwell 8% −2
- Guitarricadelafuente 6.5% +6
- Edward Norton 3% —
- Skyler Gisondo 2.5% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$170K
Favourite, 7 days−8 pts
Paul Giamatti, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 3: 36% · Oct 4: 36% · Oct 5: 37% · Oct 6: 38% · Oct 7: 28% · Oct 8: 30% · Oct 9: 28% · Oct 10: 28%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Paul Giamatti; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Paul Giamatti has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗