The odds
as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC- Jessie Bates III >99% —
- J.J. McCarthy 98% —
- Marvin Harrison Jr. 98% —
- Joey Porter Jr. 97% —
- Josh Downs 75% +8
- Riq Woolen 64% +10
- Brian Thomas Jr. 61% +10
- Budda Baker 49% +14
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$297K
Traded in all$912K
Favourite, 7 days+79 pts
Jessie Bates III, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 20% · Nov 4: 14% · Nov 5: 11% · Nov 6: 14% · Nov 7: 14% · Nov 8: 12% · Nov 9: >99% · Nov 10: >99%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Jessie Bates III; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jessie Bates III is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The trade must be officially processed and approved by NFL before Dec 1, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Jessie Bates III later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being officially processed, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: ESPN; Fox Sports; Bleacher Report; the Governing League
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Kalshi ↗