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Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba Aruba 30% ▼−52China vs Tajikistan Tajikistan 21% ▼−49Pro Baseball NLCS Qualifiers Milwaukee 89% ▲+41Game 2: Chicago WS vs Cleveland Cleveland 21% ▼−40Frey vs Bergqvist Larsson Bella Bergqvist Larsson 87% ▲+37Cerro Porteno vs CS 2 de Mayo Cerro Porteno 28% ▼−35ATP Beijing Winner Novak Djokovic 63% ▲+35Series Winner: San Diego vs Milwaukee San Diego 12% ▼−34Next Prime Minister of Romania? Luca Niculescu 43% ▲+34NLCS MVP Winner Kyle Tucker 4.9% ▼−33Natus Vincere vs. OKSavingsBank BRION OKSavingsBank BRION 80% ▲+30Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? 0.0% to 0.2% 50% ▲+30Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Receiving Yards Jaxon Smith-Njigba 95% ▲+29Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? Jordan 8.5% ▼−28
KalshiCloses December 8, 2026

NL Manager of the Year Winner?

Pat Murphy leads at 71% (about 7 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC
  • Pat Murphy 71% −1
  • Walt Weiss 29% +1
  • Don Mattingly 5% —
  • Terry Francona 4% —
  • Warren Schaeffer 3% —
  • Torey Lovullo 1% —
  • Craig Counsell 1% —
  • Dave Roberts 1% —
Traded today$805
Traded in all$513K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts

Pat Murphy, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 571%

Sep 28: 78% · Sep 29: 74% · Sep 30: 73% · Oct 1: 72% · Oct 2: 72% · Oct 3: 72% · Oct 4: 72% · Oct 5: 71%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Pat Murphy; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Pat Murphy wins the Pro Baseball National League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: the Governing League

Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.

See it on Kalshi ↗

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