The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Above 154.5 million 96% —
- Above 155 million 83% −2
- Above 155.5 million 59% −3
- Above 156 million 25% —
- Above 156.5 million 7% −6
- Above 157 million 5.5% −1
- Above 157.5 million 1.5% —
- Above 158 million 2.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$137K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 154.5 million, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 96% · Sep 29: 96% · Sep 30: 96% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 96% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 154.5 million; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If American Express Company reports Above 154500000.0 cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
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