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KalshiCloses October 29, 2026

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud: Set 1 Winner

Rafael Jodar leads at 52% (about 5 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 16, 07:26 UTC. It's down 4 points in the last 24 hours.

Rafael Jodar 52% ▼ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 16, 07:26 UTC
  • Rafael Jodar 52% −4
  • Casper Ruud 49% +3
Traded today$175K
Traded in all$221K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts

Rafael Jodar, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 14Oct 1648%

Oct 14: 53% · Oct 15: 52% · Oct 16: 48%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Rafael Jodar; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Rafael Jodar wins set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

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